
CIA analyst proved ‘likely’ means nothing without a number
Sherman Kent’s 1950s experiment showed that vague probability words scatter across a range so wide they become useless for intelligence judgement.

Sherman Kent’s 1950s experiment showed that vague probability words scatter across a range so wide they become useless for intelligence judgement.

A forum thread about an online crane game’s overly generous assist mode got filed under UFO news; it isn’t.

A two-hour-plus compilation of familiar UAP footage gets reposted as if it were fresh disclosure.

Heuer’s Analysis of Competing Hypotheses survived decades of use inside CIA by grading evidence against rejection, not confirmation.

Six arrests and a canceled BSc paper make headlines; the underlying claim, a surgical camera smuggling a sealed exam, remains police assertion, not proven fact.

A commissioned poll says news coverage boosts alien belief, but the survey itself is more media fodder than data.

NRC’s plea for accountability reads like moral theatre until you check what evidence actually backs the claim.

Skeptic.com traces how a 1940s cover-up myth outlived every chance to prove itself.

Jessica Utts found a real statistical signal in the remote-viewing files. Ray Hyman found control flaws that explained it without one. Both reports are on the record. Neither has moved since 1995. The programme’s real error was not the disagreement; it was treating a lab effect as proof the field would follow. It didn’t: 59 operational cases, outcome unconfirmed.

The CIA spent two decades trying to build a controllable mind. It killed a man, proved nothing, and then set fire to the evidence.

Explore cosmic glitches, alien monoliths, and robot protests with Salt Angel Blue’s witty take on today’s fringe narratives.

Explore today’s wildest narratives with Salt Angel Blue’s sceptical lens. From solar flares to AI art, no delusion is left unexamined.

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Explore the wild world of conspiracies, from quantum chaos to alien autocrats. Salt Angel Blue separates fact from fiction with wit.

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Explore today’s wildest claims with Salt Angel Blue’s sceptical eye. From lizard people to hologram moons, we cut through the nonsense.

Explore the weirdest edges of the info ecosystem with Salt Angel Blue’s witty analysis.

Explore wild claims from unicorn startups to AI psychics. Salt Angel Blue cuts through the nonsense with wit and skepticism.

Explore today’s bizarre narratives: Martian gardens, crypto doomsayers, vegan vampires, and AI authors. Salt Angel Blue guides you through the madness.

Explore today’s wildest claims, from quantum coffee to time-traveling TikTok. Salt Angel Blue cuts through the digital fog with wit and skepticism.

Explore wild claims from aliens at the UN to AI poetry. With wit and skepticism, we sift through today’s digital chaos.

Delve into digital delusions with Salt Angel Blue’s witty take on today’s conspiracy ecosystem.

Explore today’s wild claims: quantum cats, alien vegans, and TikTok time travelers. Salt Angel Blue dives into the madness with wit and scepticism.

SaltAngelBlue The RecordDispatchesTop SecretThe DigAboutArchive Do we really need a smartwatch? Jonathan Fox May 2015